Rubicon Organics OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ROMJF Stock  USD 0.26  0.02  8.33%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rubicon Organics on the next trading day is expected to be 0.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.63. Rubicon OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Rubicon Organics' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Rubicon Organics is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Rubicon Organics value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Rubicon Organics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rubicon Organics on the next trading day is expected to be 0.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rubicon OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rubicon Organics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Rubicon Organics OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Rubicon Organics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Rubicon Organics' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rubicon Organics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.49, respectively. We have considered Rubicon Organics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.26
0.25
Expected Value
5.49
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rubicon Organics otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rubicon Organics otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.433
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0103
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0369
SAESum of the absolute errors0.6254
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Rubicon Organics. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Rubicon Organics. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Rubicon Organics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rubicon Organics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.265.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.235.47
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Rubicon Organics

For every potential investor in Rubicon, whether a beginner or expert, Rubicon Organics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rubicon OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rubicon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rubicon Organics' price trends.

Rubicon Organics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rubicon Organics otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rubicon Organics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rubicon Organics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Rubicon Organics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Rubicon Organics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Rubicon Organics' current price.

Rubicon Organics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rubicon Organics otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rubicon Organics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rubicon Organics otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rubicon Organics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Rubicon Organics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Rubicon Organics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rubicon Organics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rubicon otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Rubicon OTC Stock

Rubicon Organics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rubicon OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rubicon with respect to the benefits of owning Rubicon Organics security.