ResMed Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

RME Stock  EUR 222.20  1.40  0.63%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of ResMed Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 222.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 169.57. ResMed Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ResMed's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for ResMed is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

ResMed Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of ResMed Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 222.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.87, mean absolute percentage error of 17.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 169.57.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ResMed Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ResMed's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ResMed Stock Forecast Pattern

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ResMed Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ResMed's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ResMed's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 220.54 and 223.86, respectively. We have considered ResMed's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
222.20
220.54
Downside
222.20
Expected Value
223.86
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ResMed stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ResMed stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.281
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1662
MADMean absolute deviation2.8742
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0127
SAESum of the absolute errors169.575
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of ResMed Inc price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of ResMed. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for ResMed

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ResMed Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
220.54222.20223.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
217.00218.66244.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
220.77230.27239.77
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ResMed

For every potential investor in ResMed, whether a beginner or expert, ResMed's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ResMed Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ResMed. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ResMed's price trends.

ResMed Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ResMed stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ResMed could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ResMed by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ResMed Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ResMed's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ResMed's current price.

ResMed Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ResMed stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ResMed shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ResMed stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ResMed Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ResMed Risk Indicators

The analysis of ResMed's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ResMed's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting resmed stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in ResMed Stock

When determining whether ResMed Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze ResMed's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ResMed's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ResMed Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ResMed to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ResMed's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ResMed is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ResMed's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.