Rocket Lab Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

RKLB Stock  USD 24.00  0.64  2.60%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Rocket Lab USA on the next trading day is expected to be 30.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 149.32. Rocket Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Rocket Lab stock prices and determine the direction of Rocket Lab USA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Rocket Lab's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Rocket Lab's Inventory Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Payables Turnover is expected to grow to 13.74, whereas Fixed Asset Turnover is forecasted to decline to 0.70. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 581.7 M, whereas Net Loss is forecasted to decline to (128.5 M).

Open Interest Against 2025-04-17 Rocket Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Rocket Lab's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Rocket Lab's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Rocket Lab stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Rocket Lab's open interest, investors have to compare it to Rocket Lab's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Rocket Lab is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Rocket. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Rocket Lab price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Rocket Lab Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 19th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Rocket Lab USA on the next trading day is expected to be 30.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.45, mean absolute percentage error of 8.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 149.32.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rocket Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rocket Lab's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Rocket Lab Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Rocket LabRocket Lab Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Rocket Lab Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Rocket Lab's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rocket Lab's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.59 and 36.45, respectively. We have considered Rocket Lab's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
24.00
30.02
Expected Value
36.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rocket Lab stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rocket Lab stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.2508
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.4479
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1292
SAESum of the absolute errors149.323
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Rocket Lab USA historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Rocket Lab

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rocket Lab USA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.6624.0930.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.3822.8129.24
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.5923.7326.34
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.1-0.07-0.05
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Rocket Lab

For every potential investor in Rocket, whether a beginner or expert, Rocket Lab's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rocket Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rocket. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rocket Lab's price trends.

Rocket Lab Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rocket Lab stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rocket Lab could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rocket Lab by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Rocket Lab USA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Rocket Lab's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Rocket Lab's current price.

Rocket Lab Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rocket Lab stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rocket Lab shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rocket Lab stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rocket Lab USA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Rocket Lab Risk Indicators

The analysis of Rocket Lab's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rocket Lab's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rocket stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Rocket Lab USA offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Rocket Lab's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Rocket Lab Usa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Rocket Lab Usa Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rocket Lab to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rocket Lab. If investors know Rocket will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rocket Lab listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.38)
Revenue Per Share
0.739
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.549
Return On Assets
(0.11)
Return On Equity
(0.37)
The market value of Rocket Lab USA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rocket that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rocket Lab's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rocket Lab's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rocket Lab's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rocket Lab's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rocket Lab's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rocket Lab is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rocket Lab's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.