Remitly Global Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

RELY Stock  USD 20.74  0.62  2.90%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Remitly Global on the next trading day is expected to be 21.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.24. Remitly Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Remitly Global's Inventory Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to rise to 55.78 in 2024, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 11.14 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 94.2 M in 2024. Net Loss is likely to rise to about (97.5 M) in 2024.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Remitly Global's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2002-03-31
Previous Quarter
187.9 M
Current Value
324.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
412.1 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Remitly Global is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Remitly Global value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Remitly Global Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Remitly Global on the next trading day is expected to be 21.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Remitly Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Remitly Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Remitly Global Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Remitly GlobalRemitly Global Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Remitly Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Remitly Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Remitly Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.89 and 24.64, respectively. We have considered Remitly Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
20.74
21.76
Expected Value
24.64
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Remitly Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Remitly Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.7495
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4071
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0239
SAESum of the absolute errors25.2407
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Remitly Global. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Remitly Global. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Remitly Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Remitly Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.0020.8823.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.6726.9329.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
18.6920.2921.88
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
28.6031.4334.89
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Remitly Global

For every potential investor in Remitly, whether a beginner or expert, Remitly Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Remitly Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Remitly. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Remitly Global's price trends.

Remitly Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Remitly Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Remitly Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Remitly Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Remitly Global Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Remitly Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Remitly Global's current price.

Remitly Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Remitly Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Remitly Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Remitly Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Remitly Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Remitly Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Remitly Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Remitly Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting remitly stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Remitly Stock Analysis

When running Remitly Global's price analysis, check to measure Remitly Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Remitly Global is operating at the current time. Most of Remitly Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Remitly Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Remitly Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Remitly Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.