Reliance Capital Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

RELCAPITAL   12.35  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Reliance Capital Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 12.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Reliance Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Reliance Capital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Reliance Capital's Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income is increasing as compared to previous years. The Reliance Capital's current Accounts Payable is estimated to increase to about 28.6 B, while Total Assets are projected to decrease to under 497.8 B.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Reliance Capital price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Reliance Capital Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Reliance Capital Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 12.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Reliance Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Reliance Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Reliance Capital Stock Forecast Pattern

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Reliance Capital Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Reliance Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Reliance Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.35 and 12.35, respectively. We have considered Reliance Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.35
12.35
Expected Value
12.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Reliance Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Reliance Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria55.4882
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Reliance Capital Limited historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Reliance Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Reliance Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.3512.3512.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.3512.3512.35
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Reliance Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Reliance Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Reliance Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Reliance Capital.

Other Forecasting Options for Reliance Capital

For every potential investor in Reliance, whether a beginner or expert, Reliance Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Reliance Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Reliance. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Reliance Capital's price trends.

Reliance Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Reliance Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Reliance Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Reliance Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Reliance Capital Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Reliance Capital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Reliance Capital's current price.

Reliance Capital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Reliance Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Reliance Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Reliance Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Reliance Capital Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Reliance Stock

Reliance Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Reliance Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Reliance with respect to the benefits of owning Reliance Capital security.