Ramayana Lestari Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

RALS Stock  IDR 346.00  4.00  1.14%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa on the next trading day is expected to be 346.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 282.55. Ramayana Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Ramayana Lestari price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Ramayana Lestari Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Ramayana Lestari Sentosa on the next trading day is expected to be 346.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.56, mean absolute percentage error of 32.64, and the sum of the absolute errors of 282.55.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ramayana Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ramayana Lestari's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ramayana Lestari Stock Forecast Pattern

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Ramayana Lestari Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ramayana Lestari's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ramayana Lestari's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 345.44 and 348.21, respectively. We have considered Ramayana Lestari's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
346.00
345.44
Downside
346.83
Expected Value
348.21
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ramayana Lestari stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ramayana Lestari stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.434
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation4.5573
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0128
SAESum of the absolute errors282.5525
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Ramayana Lestari Sentosa historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Ramayana Lestari

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ramayana Lestari Sentosa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
344.62346.00347.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
278.88280.26380.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
335.81348.20360.59
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Ramayana Lestari

For every potential investor in Ramayana, whether a beginner or expert, Ramayana Lestari's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ramayana Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ramayana. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ramayana Lestari's price trends.

Ramayana Lestari Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ramayana Lestari stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ramayana Lestari could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ramayana Lestari by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ramayana Lestari's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ramayana Lestari's current price.

Ramayana Lestari Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ramayana Lestari stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ramayana Lestari shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ramayana Lestari stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ramayana Lestari Sentosa entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ramayana Lestari Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ramayana Lestari's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ramayana Lestari's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ramayana stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Ramayana Stock

Ramayana Lestari financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ramayana Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ramayana with respect to the benefits of owning Ramayana Lestari security.