Prudential Plc Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

PUKN Stock  MXN 439.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Prudential plc on the next trading day is expected to be 439.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Prudential Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Prudential Plc simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Prudential plc are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Prudential plc prices get older.

Prudential Plc Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Prudential plc on the next trading day is expected to be 439.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Prudential Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Prudential Plc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Prudential Plc Stock Forecast Pattern

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Prudential Plc Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Prudential Plc's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Prudential Plc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 439.00 and 439.00, respectively. We have considered Prudential Plc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
439.00
439.00
Downside
439.00
Expected Value
439.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Prudential Plc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Prudential Plc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Prudential plc forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Prudential Plc observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Prudential Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prudential plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
439.00439.00439.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
439.00439.00439.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Prudential Plc

For every potential investor in Prudential, whether a beginner or expert, Prudential Plc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Prudential Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Prudential. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Prudential Plc's price trends.

Prudential Plc Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Prudential Plc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Prudential Plc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Prudential Plc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Prudential plc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Prudential Plc's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Prudential Plc's current price.

Prudential Plc Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Prudential Plc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Prudential Plc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Prudential Plc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Prudential plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Prudential Stock Analysis

When running Prudential Plc's price analysis, check to measure Prudential Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Prudential Plc is operating at the current time. Most of Prudential Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Prudential Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Prudential Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Prudential Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.