Pro Real Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

PRV-UN Stock  CAD 5.21  0.03  0.57%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Pro Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 5.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.89. Pro Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Pro Real stock prices and determine the direction of Pro Real Estate's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Pro Real's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Pro Real's Receivables Turnover is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 123.56, whereas Payables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 6.20. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 64.5 M. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 98.8 M.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Pro Real price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Pro Real Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Pro Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 5.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.89.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pro Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pro Real's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pro Real Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Pro RealPro Real Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Pro Real Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pro Real's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pro Real's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.01 and 6.52, respectively. We have considered Pro Real's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.21
5.27
Expected Value
6.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pro Real stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pro Real stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.8587
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0966
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0172
SAESum of the absolute errors5.8924
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Pro Real Estate historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Pro Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pro Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pro Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.925.186.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.105.366.62
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Pro Real

For every potential investor in Pro, whether a beginner or expert, Pro Real's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pro Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pro. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pro Real's price trends.

Pro Real Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pro Real stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pro Real could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pro Real by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pro Real Estate Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pro Real's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pro Real's current price.

Pro Real Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pro Real stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pro Real shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pro Real stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pro Real Estate entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pro Real Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pro Real's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pro Real's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pro stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Pro Real

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Pro Real position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Pro Real will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Pro Stock

  0.72PNC-B Postmedia Network CanadaPairCorr

Moving against Pro Stock

  0.88DBO D Box TechnologiesPairCorr
  0.83FFH-PH Fairfax FinancialPairCorr
  0.82FFH-PF Fairfax FinancialPairCorr
  0.8NOA North American ConstPairCorr
  0.78AAPL Apple Inc CDRPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Pro Real could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Pro Real when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Pro Real - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Pro Real Estate to buy it.
The correlation of Pro Real is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Pro Real moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Pro Real Estate moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Pro Real can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Pro Stock

Pro Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pro Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pro with respect to the benefits of owning Pro Real security.