Pimco Flexible Mutual Fund Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

PMAAX Fund  USD 10.24  0.03  0.29%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Pimco Flexible Municipal on the next trading day is expected to be 10.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.23. Pimco Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Pimco Flexible is based on an artificially constructed time series of Pimco Flexible daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Pimco Flexible 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 21st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Pimco Flexible Municipal on the next trading day is expected to be 10.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pimco Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pimco Flexible's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pimco Flexible Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Pimco FlexiblePimco Flexible Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Pimco Flexible Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pimco Flexible's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pimco Flexible's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.99 and 10.72, respectively. We have considered Pimco Flexible's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.24
10.36
Expected Value
10.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pimco Flexible mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pimco Flexible mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria98.2819
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0257
MADMean absolute deviation0.061
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0059
SAESum of the absolute errors3.2325
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Pimco Flexible Municipal 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Pimco Flexible

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pimco Flexible Municipal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.8410.2110.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.9010.2710.64
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pimco Flexible. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pimco Flexible's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pimco Flexible's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pimco Flexible Municipal.

Other Forecasting Options for Pimco Flexible

For every potential investor in Pimco, whether a beginner or expert, Pimco Flexible's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pimco Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pimco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pimco Flexible's price trends.

Pimco Flexible Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pimco Flexible mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pimco Flexible could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pimco Flexible by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pimco Flexible Municipal Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pimco Flexible's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pimco Flexible's current price.

Pimco Flexible Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pimco Flexible mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pimco Flexible shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pimco Flexible mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Pimco Flexible Municipal entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pimco Flexible Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pimco Flexible's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pimco Flexible's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pimco mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Pimco Mutual Fund

Pimco Flexible financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pimco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pimco with respect to the benefits of owning Pimco Flexible security.
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope