Impinj Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

PI Stock  USD 94.06  2.60  2.84%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Impinj Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 91.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 191.44. Impinj Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Impinj's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Impinj is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Impinj Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Impinj Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 21st of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Impinj Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 91.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.14, mean absolute percentage error of 15.69, and the sum of the absolute errors of 191.44.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Impinj Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Impinj's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Impinj Stock Forecast Pattern

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Impinj Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Impinj's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Impinj's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 87.74 and 95.19, respectively. We have considered Impinj's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
94.06
91.46
Expected Value
95.19
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Impinj stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Impinj stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.8638
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.1383
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0272
SAESum of the absolute errors191.4389
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Impinj Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Impinj. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Impinj

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Impinj Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
90.3394.0697.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
86.1789.90103.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
85.7395.26104.78
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Impinj

For every potential investor in Impinj, whether a beginner or expert, Impinj's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Impinj Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Impinj. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Impinj's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Impinj Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Impinj's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Impinj's current price.

Impinj Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Impinj stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Impinj shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Impinj stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Impinj Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Impinj Risk Indicators

The analysis of Impinj's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Impinj's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting impinj stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Impinj to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Electronic Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Impinj. If investors know Impinj will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Impinj listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Impinj Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Impinj that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Impinj's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Impinj's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Impinj's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Impinj's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Impinj's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Impinj is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Impinj's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.