Oxford Lane Preferred Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

A naive forecasting model for Oxford Lane is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Oxford Lane Capital value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Oxford Lane Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Oxford Lane Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 24.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.71.

Oxford Lane Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Oxford Lane

Oxford Lane Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oxford Lane preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oxford Lane preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Oxford Lane Capital. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Oxford Lane. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Oxford Lane

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oxford Lane Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 24.98 24.98 24.98 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 21.16 21.16 27.48 Details

Oxford Lane Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Oxford Lane Market Strength Events

Oxford Lane Risk Indicators

Other Consideration for investing in Oxford Preferred Stock