OFS Credit Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| OCCI Stock | USD 7.29 0.05 0.69% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of OFS Credit on the next trading day is expected to be 7.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.45. OFS Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of OFS Credit's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
OFS |
OFS Credit Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of OFS Credit on the next trading day is expected to be 7.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.45.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OFS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that OFS Credit's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
OFS Credit Stock Forecast Pattern
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OFS Credit Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting OFS Credit's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. OFS Credit's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.27 and 8.33, respectively. We have considered OFS Credit's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of OFS Credit stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent OFS Credit stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.007 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0585 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0082 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.4493 |
Predictive Modules for OFS Credit
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OFS Credit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of OFS Credit's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for OFS Credit
For every potential investor in OFS, whether a beginner or expert, OFS Credit's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OFS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OFS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying OFS Credit's price trends.View OFS Credit Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
OFS Credit Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of OFS Credit's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of OFS Credit's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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OFS Credit Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how OFS Credit stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading OFS Credit shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying OFS Credit stock market strength indicators, traders can identify OFS Credit entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
OFS Credit Risk Indicators
The analysis of OFS Credit's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OFS Credit's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ofs stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7501 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.968 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Variance | 1.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.24 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.937 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether OFS Credit offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of OFS Credit's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ofs Credit Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ofs Credit Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OFS Credit to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in OFS Stock please use our How to Invest in OFS Credit guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of OFS Credit. If investors know OFS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about OFS Credit listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.279 | Dividend Share 1.465 | Earnings Share 0.68 | Revenue Per Share 1.976 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.031 |
The market value of OFS Credit is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of OFS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of OFS Credit's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is OFS Credit's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because OFS Credit's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect OFS Credit's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between OFS Credit's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if OFS Credit is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, OFS Credit's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.