Defiance ETFs Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Defiance ETFs on the next trading day is expected to be 3.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.60. Defiance Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Defiance |
Defiance ETFs Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 18th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Defiance ETFs on the next trading day is expected to be 3.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.48, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.60.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Defiance Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Defiance ETFs' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Defiance ETFs Etf Forecast Pattern
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Defiance ETFs etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Defiance ETFs etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.3668 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4033 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 9.223372036854776E14 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 24.6042 |
Predictive Modules for Defiance ETFs
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Defiance ETFs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Defiance ETFs' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Defiance ETFs Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Defiance ETFs etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Defiance ETFs could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Defiance ETFs by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Defiance ETFs Risk Indicators
The analysis of Defiance ETFs' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Defiance ETFs' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting defiance etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.42 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.37 | |||
| Variance | 11.39 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.02 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.91 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.90) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Defiance ETFs is a strong investment it is important to analyze Defiance ETFs' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Defiance ETFs' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Defiance Etf, refer to the following important reports:Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
The market value of Defiance ETFs is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Defiance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Defiance ETFs' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Defiance ETFs' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Defiance ETFs' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Defiance ETFs' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Defiance ETFs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Defiance ETFs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Defiance ETFs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.