Nexxen International Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

NEXN Stock   10.02  0.05  0.50%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nexxen International on the next trading day is expected to be 10.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.95. Nexxen Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Nexxen International works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Nexxen International Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nexxen International on the next trading day is expected to be 10.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.95.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nexxen Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nexxen International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nexxen International Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Nexxen InternationalNexxen International Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Nexxen International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nexxen International's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nexxen International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.16 and 13.92, respectively. We have considered Nexxen International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.02
10.04
Expected Value
13.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nexxen International pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nexxen International pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0318
MADMean absolute deviation0.2325
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0261
SAESum of the absolute errors13.9517
When Nexxen International prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Nexxen International trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Nexxen International observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Nexxen International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nexxen International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nexxen International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.1410.0213.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.8210.7014.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9.6510.0110.37
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Nexxen International

For every potential investor in Nexxen, whether a beginner or expert, Nexxen International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nexxen Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nexxen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nexxen International's price trends.

Nexxen International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nexxen International pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nexxen International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nexxen International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nexxen International Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nexxen International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nexxen International's current price.

Nexxen International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nexxen International pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nexxen International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nexxen International pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Nexxen International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nexxen International Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nexxen International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nexxen International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nexxen pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Nexxen International

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Nexxen International position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Nexxen International will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Nexxen Pink Sheet

  0.77ZD Ziff DavisPairCorr

Moving against Nexxen Pink Sheet

  0.77ABLVW Able View GlobalPairCorr
  0.69FLNT Fluent IncPairCorr
  0.63ADVWW Advantage SolutionsPairCorr
  0.61DLPN Dolphin EntertainmentPairCorr
  0.58MGOL MGO Global CommonPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Nexxen International could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Nexxen International when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Nexxen International - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Nexxen International to buy it.
The correlation of Nexxen International is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Nexxen International moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Nexxen International moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Nexxen International can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Nexxen Pink Sheet

Nexxen International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nexxen Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nexxen with respect to the benefits of owning Nexxen International security.