RESOLUTION MINERALS Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NC3 Stock  EUR 0.0005  0  87.50%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of RESOLUTION MINERALS LTD on the next trading day is expected to be -0.0005 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. RESOLUTION Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of RESOLUTION MINERALS's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for RESOLUTION MINERALS is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of RESOLUTION MINERALS LTD value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

RESOLUTION MINERALS Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of RESOLUTION MINERALS LTD on the next trading day is expected to be -0.0005 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000013, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RESOLUTION Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RESOLUTION MINERALS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

RESOLUTION MINERALS Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest RESOLUTION MINERALSRESOLUTION MINERALS Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

RESOLUTION MINERALS Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting RESOLUTION MINERALS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RESOLUTION MINERALS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000005 and 10.85, respectively. We have considered RESOLUTION MINERALS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0005
0.000005
Downside
-0.0005
Expected Value
10.85
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RESOLUTION MINERALS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RESOLUTION MINERALS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.0551
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1152
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0128
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of RESOLUTION MINERALS LTD. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict RESOLUTION MINERALS. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for RESOLUTION MINERALS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RESOLUTION MINERALS LTD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000510.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000510.85
Details

Other Forecasting Options for RESOLUTION MINERALS

For every potential investor in RESOLUTION, whether a beginner or expert, RESOLUTION MINERALS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RESOLUTION Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RESOLUTION. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RESOLUTION MINERALS's price trends.

RESOLUTION MINERALS Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RESOLUTION MINERALS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RESOLUTION MINERALS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RESOLUTION MINERALS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

RESOLUTION MINERALS LTD Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of RESOLUTION MINERALS's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of RESOLUTION MINERALS's current price.

RESOLUTION MINERALS Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RESOLUTION MINERALS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RESOLUTION MINERALS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RESOLUTION MINERALS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify RESOLUTION MINERALS LTD entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

RESOLUTION MINERALS Risk Indicators

The analysis of RESOLUTION MINERALS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RESOLUTION MINERALS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting resolution stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in RESOLUTION Stock

RESOLUTION MINERALS financial ratios help investors to determine whether RESOLUTION Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RESOLUTION with respect to the benefits of owning RESOLUTION MINERALS security.