News Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

NC0B Stock  EUR 30.20  0.20  0.67%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of News Corporation on the next trading day is expected to be 30.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.12. News Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of News' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through News price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

News Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of News Corporation on the next trading day is expected to be 30.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77, mean absolute percentage error of 0.78, and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict News Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that News' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

News Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest NewsNews Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

News Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting News' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. News' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.96 and 31.53, respectively. We have considered News' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
30.20
30.25
Expected Value
31.53
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of News stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent News stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.861
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7724
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0294
SAESum of the absolute errors47.1162
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as News Corporation historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for News

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as News. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.9230.2031.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.1832.3733.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
29.2829.6530.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as News. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against News' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, News' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in News.

Other Forecasting Options for News

For every potential investor in News, whether a beginner or expert, News' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. News Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in News. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying News' price trends.

News Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with News stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of News could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing News by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

News Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of News' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of News' current price.

News Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how News stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading News shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying News stock market strength indicators, traders can identify News Corporation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

News Risk Indicators

The analysis of News' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in News' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting news stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in News Stock

News financial ratios help investors to determine whether News Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in News with respect to the benefits of owning News security.