Mr Price Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

MRP Stock   29,774  1,018  3.54%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mr Price Group on the next trading day is expected to be 28,620 with a mean absolute deviation of 422.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25,793. MRP Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Mr Price stock prices and determine the direction of Mr Price Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mr Price's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Mr Price is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Mr Price Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Mr Price Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mr Price Group on the next trading day is expected to be 28,620 with a mean absolute deviation of 422.84, mean absolute percentage error of 311,203, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25,793.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MRP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mr Price's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mr Price Stock Forecast Pattern

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Mr Price Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mr Price's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mr Price's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28,618 and 28,622, respectively. We have considered Mr Price's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
29,774
28,618
Downside
28,620
Expected Value
28,622
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mr Price stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mr Price stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria130.7587
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation422.8432
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0157
SAESum of the absolute errors25793.4349
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Mr Price Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Mr Price. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Mr Price

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mr Price Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29,77229,77429,776
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26,79733,62533,626
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Mr Price

For every potential investor in MRP, whether a beginner or expert, Mr Price's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MRP Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MRP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mr Price's price trends.

Mr Price Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mr Price stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mr Price could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mr Price by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mr Price Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mr Price's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mr Price's current price.

Mr Price Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mr Price stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mr Price shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mr Price stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mr Price Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mr Price Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mr Price's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mr Price's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mrp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in MRP Stock

Mr Price financial ratios help investors to determine whether MRP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MRP with respect to the benefits of owning Mr Price security.