Morpho Crypto Coin Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

MORPHO Crypto   3.36  0.08  2.44%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Morpho on the next trading day is expected to be 3.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.37. Morpho Crypto Coin Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Morpho crypto prices and determine the direction of Morpho's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Morpho's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Morpho is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Morpho 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Morpho on the next trading day is expected to be 3.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.37.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Morpho Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Morpho's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Morpho Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern

Morpho Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Morpho's Crypto Coin value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Morpho's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 128.38, respectively. We have considered Morpho's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.36
3.34
Expected Value
128.38
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Morpho crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Morpho crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.3438
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1466
MADMean absolute deviation0.1468
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors8.3675
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Morpho. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Morpho and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Morpho

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Morpho. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.173.36339.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.14338.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Morpho. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Morpho's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Morpho's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Morpho.

Other Forecasting Options for Morpho

For every potential investor in Morpho, whether a beginner or expert, Morpho's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Morpho Crypto Coin price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Morpho. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Morpho's price trends.

Morpho Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Morpho crypto coin to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Morpho could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Morpho by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Morpho Technical and Predictive Analytics

The crypto coin market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Morpho's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Morpho's current price.

Morpho Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Morpho crypto coin reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Morpho shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Morpho crypto coin market strength indicators, traders can identify Morpho entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Morpho Risk Indicators

The analysis of Morpho's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Morpho's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting morpho crypto coin prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Morpho offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Morpho's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Morpho Crypto.
Check out fundamental analysis of Morpho to check your projections.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Morpho's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine Morpho value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, Morpho's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.