Mold-Tek Packaging Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

MOLDTKPAC   442.75  2.05  0.46%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Mold Tek Packaging Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 422.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 21.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,288. Mold-Tek Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Mold-Tek Packaging's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Mold-Tek Packaging's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Mold-Tek Packaging fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Mold-Tek Packaging's Non Current Assets Total are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 03/24/2025, Non Currrent Assets Other is likely to grow to about 244 M, while Cash is likely to drop slightly above 3.3 M.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Mold-Tek Packaging price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Mold-Tek Packaging Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Mold Tek Packaging Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 422.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 21.11, mean absolute percentage error of 625.53, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,288.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mold-Tek Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mold-Tek Packaging's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mold-Tek Packaging Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Mold-Tek PackagingMold-Tek Packaging Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Mold-Tek Packaging Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mold-Tek Packaging's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mold-Tek Packaging's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 420.74 and 424.99, respectively. We have considered Mold-Tek Packaging's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
442.75
420.74
Downside
422.87
Expected Value
424.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mold-Tek Packaging stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mold-Tek Packaging stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria124.5491
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation21.1084
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0387
SAESum of the absolute errors1287.6137
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Mold Tek Packaging Limited historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Mold-Tek Packaging

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mold Tek Packaging. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mold-Tek Packaging's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
440.63442.75444.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
418.76420.88487.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
412.68460.70508.72
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.454.634.83
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Mold-Tek Packaging

For every potential investor in Mold-Tek, whether a beginner or expert, Mold-Tek Packaging's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mold-Tek Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mold-Tek. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mold-Tek Packaging's price trends.

Mold-Tek Packaging Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mold-Tek Packaging stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mold-Tek Packaging could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mold-Tek Packaging by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mold Tek Packaging Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mold-Tek Packaging's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mold-Tek Packaging's current price.

Mold-Tek Packaging Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mold-Tek Packaging stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mold-Tek Packaging shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mold-Tek Packaging stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mold Tek Packaging Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mold-Tek Packaging Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mold-Tek Packaging's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mold-Tek Packaging's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mold-tek stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Mold-Tek Stock Analysis

When running Mold-Tek Packaging's price analysis, check to measure Mold-Tek Packaging's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mold-Tek Packaging is operating at the current time. Most of Mold-Tek Packaging's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mold-Tek Packaging's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mold-Tek Packaging's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mold-Tek Packaging to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.