MoneyLion Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

ML Stock  USD 87.00  0.12  0.14%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of MoneyLion on the next trading day is expected to be 86.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.03. MoneyLion Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although MoneyLion's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of MoneyLion's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of MoneyLion fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, MoneyLion's Payables Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is expected to rise to 4.92 this year, although the value of Inventory Turnover will most likely fall to 0.20. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to rise to about 126.2 M this year, although the value of Net Loss will most likely fall to (185.2 M).

Open Interest Against 2025-04-17 MoneyLion Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast MoneyLion's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in MoneyLion's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for MoneyLion stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current MoneyLion's open interest, investors have to compare it to MoneyLion's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of MoneyLion is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in MoneyLion. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
A four-period moving average forecast model for MoneyLion is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

MoneyLion 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of MoneyLion on the next trading day is expected to be 86.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72, mean absolute percentage error of 2.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.03.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MoneyLion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MoneyLion's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

MoneyLion Stock Forecast Pattern

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MoneyLion Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting MoneyLion's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MoneyLion's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 84.48 and 89.45, respectively. We have considered MoneyLion's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
87.00
86.96
Expected Value
89.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MoneyLion stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MoneyLion stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.4699
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0031
MADMean absolute deviation0.7247
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0086
SAESum of the absolute errors42.03
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of MoneyLion. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for MoneyLion and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for MoneyLion

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MoneyLion. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
84.5287.0089.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
78.3095.0197.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
85.6886.7587.82
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
95.55105.00116.55
Details

Other Forecasting Options for MoneyLion

For every potential investor in MoneyLion, whether a beginner or expert, MoneyLion's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MoneyLion Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MoneyLion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MoneyLion's price trends.

View MoneyLion Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

MoneyLion Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of MoneyLion's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of MoneyLion's current price.

MoneyLion Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MoneyLion stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MoneyLion shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MoneyLion stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MoneyLion entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

MoneyLion Risk Indicators

The analysis of MoneyLion's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MoneyLion's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting moneylion stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MoneyLion to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy MoneyLion Stock please use our How to buy in MoneyLion Stock guide.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MoneyLion. If investors know MoneyLion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MoneyLion listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
0.76
Revenue Per Share
50.049
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.404
Return On Assets
0.0322
Return On Equity
0.0334
The market value of MoneyLion is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MoneyLion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MoneyLion's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MoneyLion's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MoneyLion's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MoneyLion's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MoneyLion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MoneyLion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MoneyLion's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.