Meritage Hospitality OTC Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| MHGUDelisted Stock | USD 19.75 0.28 1.44% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Meritage Hospitality Group on the next trading day is expected to be 18.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.15. Meritage OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Meritage |
Meritage Hospitality Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Meritage Hospitality Group on the next trading day is expected to be 18.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.15.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Meritage OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Meritage Hospitality's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Meritage Hospitality OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Meritage Hospitality | Meritage Hospitality Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Meritage Hospitality otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Meritage Hospitality otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.6173 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3795 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0193 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.1469 |
Predictive Modules for Meritage Hospitality
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meritage Hospitality. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Meritage Hospitality Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Meritage Hospitality otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Meritage Hospitality could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Meritage Hospitality by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Meritage Hospitality Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Meritage Hospitality otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Meritage Hospitality shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Meritage Hospitality otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Meritage Hospitality Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Meritage Hospitality Risk Indicators
The analysis of Meritage Hospitality's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Meritage Hospitality's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting meritage otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9266 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Variance | 3.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.84 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.30) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Thematic Opportunities
Explore Investment Opportunities
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. Note that the Meritage Hospitality information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Meritage Hospitality's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Other Consideration for investing in Meritage OTC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Meritage Hospitality check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Meritage Hospitality's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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