Merchants Bancorp Preferred Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| MBINODelisted Preferred Stock | USD 25.00 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Merchants Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 25.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.50. Merchants Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Merchants |
Merchants Bancorp Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 21st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Merchants Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 25.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Merchants Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Merchants Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Merchants Bancorp Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Merchants Bancorp | Merchants Bancorp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Merchants Bancorp preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Merchants Bancorp preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.6594 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0127 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0254 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.001 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.5 |
Predictive Modules for Merchants Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Merchants Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Merchants Bancorp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Merchants Bancorp preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Merchants Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Merchants Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Merchants Bancorp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Merchants Bancorp preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Merchants Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Merchants Bancorp preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Merchants Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Merchants Bancorp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Merchants Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Merchants Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting merchants preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1133 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.0934 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1793 | |||
| Variance | 0.0322 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0674 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0087 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Merchants Bancorp
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Merchants Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Merchants Bancorp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Merchants Preferred Stock
| 0.92 | NU | Nu Holdings Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
| 0.88 | TFC-PO | Truist Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | CFG-PE | Citizens Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | TFC-PR | Truist Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | WF | Woori Financial Group | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Merchants Bancorp could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Merchants Bancorp when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Merchants Bancorp - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Merchants Bancorp to buy it.
The correlation of Merchants Bancorp is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Merchants Bancorp moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Merchants Bancorp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Merchants Bancorp can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Other Consideration for investing in Merchants Preferred Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Merchants Bancorp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Merchants Bancorp's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Piotroski F Score Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals | |
| Equity Analysis Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities | |
| Balance Of Power Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios | |
| Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation | |
| Content Syndication Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal | |
| Premium Stories Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope | |
| Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| My Watchlist Analysis Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like |