Mantex AB Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

MANTEX Stock  SEK 12.18  0.08  0.66%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Mantex AB on the next trading day is expected to be 13.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.12. Mantex Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Mantex AB stock prices and determine the direction of Mantex AB's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mantex AB's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Mantex AB price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Mantex AB Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Mantex AB on the next trading day is expected to be 13.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13, mean absolute percentage error of 1.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mantex Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mantex AB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mantex AB Stock Forecast Pattern

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Mantex AB Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mantex AB's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mantex AB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.19 and 19.39, respectively. We have considered Mantex AB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.18
13.79
Expected Value
19.39
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mantex AB stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mantex AB stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.5356
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.131
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0776
SAESum of the absolute errors70.1234
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Mantex AB historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Mantex AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mantex AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mantex AB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.5812.1817.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.4711.0716.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.0614.4717.89
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Mantex AB

For every potential investor in Mantex, whether a beginner or expert, Mantex AB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mantex Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mantex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mantex AB's price trends.

Mantex AB Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mantex AB stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mantex AB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mantex AB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mantex AB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mantex AB's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mantex AB's current price.

Mantex AB Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mantex AB stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mantex AB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mantex AB stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mantex AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mantex AB Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mantex AB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mantex AB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mantex stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Mantex Stock

Mantex AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mantex Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mantex with respect to the benefits of owning Mantex AB security.