LuxUrban Hotels Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

LUXHPDelisted Preferred Stock   8.00  4.20  34.43%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LuxUrban Hotels 1300 on the next trading day is expected to be 6.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.98. LuxUrban Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for LuxUrban Hotels - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When LuxUrban Hotels prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in LuxUrban Hotels price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of LuxUrban Hotels 1300.

LuxUrban Hotels Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LuxUrban Hotels 1300 on the next trading day is expected to be 6.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59, mean absolute percentage error of 0.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.98.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LuxUrban Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LuxUrban Hotels' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

LuxUrban Hotels Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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LuxUrban Hotels Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting LuxUrban Hotels' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LuxUrban Hotels' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.08 and 13.03, respectively. We have considered LuxUrban Hotels' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.00
6.49
Expected Value
13.03
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LuxUrban Hotels pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LuxUrban Hotels pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1389
MADMean absolute deviation0.5929
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0452
SAESum of the absolute errors34.9829
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past LuxUrban Hotels observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older LuxUrban Hotels 1300 observations.

Predictive Modules for LuxUrban Hotels

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LuxUrban Hotels 1300. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.468.0014.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.067.6014.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LuxUrban Hotels. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LuxUrban Hotels' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LuxUrban Hotels' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LuxUrban Hotels 1300.

Other Forecasting Options for LuxUrban Hotels

For every potential investor in LuxUrban, whether a beginner or expert, LuxUrban Hotels' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LuxUrban Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LuxUrban. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LuxUrban Hotels' price trends.

LuxUrban Hotels Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LuxUrban Hotels pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LuxUrban Hotels could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LuxUrban Hotels by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

LuxUrban Hotels 1300 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of LuxUrban Hotels' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of LuxUrban Hotels' current price.

LuxUrban Hotels Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LuxUrban Hotels pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LuxUrban Hotels shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LuxUrban Hotels pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify LuxUrban Hotels 1300 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

LuxUrban Hotels Risk Indicators

The analysis of LuxUrban Hotels' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LuxUrban Hotels' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting luxurban pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with LuxUrban Hotels

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if LuxUrban Hotels position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in LuxUrban Hotels will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to LuxUrban Hotels could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace LuxUrban Hotels when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back LuxUrban Hotels - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling LuxUrban Hotels 1300 to buy it.
The correlation of LuxUrban Hotels is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as LuxUrban Hotels moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if LuxUrban Hotels 1300 moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for LuxUrban Hotels can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LuxUrban Hotels to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

Other Consideration for investing in LuxUrban Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in LuxUrban Hotels 1300 check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the LuxUrban Hotels' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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