Kaiser Aluminum Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

KALU Stock  USD 70.76  0.54  0.76%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kaiser Aluminum on the next trading day is expected to be 71.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.39. Kaiser Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Kaiser Aluminum's Payables Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to gain to 11.24 in 2025, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 4.20 in 2025. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 15.5 M in 2025. Net Loss is likely to gain to about (25.3 M) in 2025.

Open Interest Against 2025-04-17 Kaiser Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Kaiser Aluminum's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Kaiser Aluminum's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Kaiser Aluminum stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Kaiser Aluminum's open interest, investors have to compare it to Kaiser Aluminum's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Kaiser Aluminum is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Kaiser. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Kaiser Aluminum is based on an artificially constructed time series of Kaiser Aluminum daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Kaiser Aluminum 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kaiser Aluminum on the next trading day is expected to be 71.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.73, mean absolute percentage error of 5.84, and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kaiser Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kaiser Aluminum's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kaiser Aluminum Stock Forecast Pattern

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Kaiser Aluminum Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kaiser Aluminum's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kaiser Aluminum's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 69.53 and 73.13, respectively. We have considered Kaiser Aluminum's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
70.76
71.33
Expected Value
73.13
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kaiser Aluminum stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kaiser Aluminum stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.0095
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.7749
MADMean absolute deviation1.7294
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0241
SAESum of the absolute errors93.39
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Kaiser Aluminum 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Kaiser Aluminum

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kaiser Aluminum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
69.2071.0072.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65.2467.0377.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
69.3870.6471.90
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
73.7181.0089.91
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Kaiser Aluminum

For every potential investor in Kaiser, whether a beginner or expert, Kaiser Aluminum's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kaiser Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kaiser. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kaiser Aluminum's price trends.

Kaiser Aluminum Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kaiser Aluminum stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kaiser Aluminum could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kaiser Aluminum by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kaiser Aluminum Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kaiser Aluminum's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kaiser Aluminum's current price.

Kaiser Aluminum Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kaiser Aluminum stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kaiser Aluminum shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kaiser Aluminum stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kaiser Aluminum entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kaiser Aluminum Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kaiser Aluminum's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kaiser Aluminum's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kaiser stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Kaiser Stock Analysis

When running Kaiser Aluminum's price analysis, check to measure Kaiser Aluminum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kaiser Aluminum is operating at the current time. Most of Kaiser Aluminum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kaiser Aluminum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kaiser Aluminum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kaiser Aluminum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.