Jiangsu Expressway Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

JE2 Stock  EUR 1.01  0.01  1.00%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Jiangsu Expressway on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.86. Jiangsu Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Jiangsu Expressway's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Jiangsu Expressway is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Jiangsu Expressway 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Jiangsu Expressway on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.86.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jiangsu Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jiangsu Expressway's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jiangsu Expressway Stock Forecast Pattern

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Jiangsu Expressway Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jiangsu Expressway's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jiangsu Expressway's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.35, respectively. We have considered Jiangsu Expressway's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.01
1.00
Expected Value
3.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jiangsu Expressway stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jiangsu Expressway stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.157
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.006
MADMean absolute deviation0.015
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0161
SAESum of the absolute errors0.8575
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Jiangsu Expressway. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Jiangsu Expressway and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Jiangsu Expressway

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jiangsu Expressway. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.013.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.153.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Jiangsu Expressway

For every potential investor in Jiangsu, whether a beginner or expert, Jiangsu Expressway's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jiangsu Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jiangsu. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jiangsu Expressway's price trends.

Jiangsu Expressway Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jiangsu Expressway stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jiangsu Expressway could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jiangsu Expressway by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jiangsu Expressway Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jiangsu Expressway's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jiangsu Expressway's current price.

Jiangsu Expressway Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jiangsu Expressway stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jiangsu Expressway shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jiangsu Expressway stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jiangsu Expressway entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jiangsu Expressway Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jiangsu Expressway's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jiangsu Expressway's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jiangsu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Jiangsu Stock

Jiangsu Expressway financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jiangsu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jiangsu with respect to the benefits of owning Jiangsu Expressway security.