In Style Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

ITS Stock   3,900  0.00  0.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of in Style Group on the next trading day is expected to be 3,900 with a mean absolute deviation of 54.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,187. ITS Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast In Style stock prices and determine the direction of in Style Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of In Style's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, In Style's Net Receivables is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Inventory is expected to grow to about 3.8 M, whereas Total Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 5.1 M.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for In Style works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

In Style Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of in Style Group on the next trading day is expected to be 3,900 with a mean absolute deviation of 54.01, mean absolute percentage error of 5,864, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,187.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ITS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that In Style's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

In Style Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest In StyleIn Style Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

In Style Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting In Style's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. In Style's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3,898 and 3,902, respectively. We have considered In Style's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3,900
3,900
Expected Value
3,902
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of In Style stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent In Style stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 5.2526
MADMean absolute deviation54.0142
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0143
SAESum of the absolute errors3186.8363
When in Style Group prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any in Style Group trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent In Style observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for In Style

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as in Style Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,5103,9103,912
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,2553,2574,290
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.4-0.27-0.15
Details

Other Forecasting Options for In Style

For every potential investor in ITS, whether a beginner or expert, In Style's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ITS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ITS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying In Style's price trends.

In Style Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with In Style stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of In Style could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing In Style by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

in Style Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of In Style's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of In Style's current price.

In Style Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how In Style stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading In Style shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying In Style stock market strength indicators, traders can identify in Style Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

In Style Risk Indicators

The analysis of In Style's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in In Style's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting its stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in ITS Stock

In Style financial ratios help investors to determine whether ITS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ITS with respect to the benefits of owning In Style security.