Icelandic Salmon Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

ISLAX Stock   1,510  10.00  0.67%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Icelandic Salmon AS on the next trading day is expected to be 1,522 with a mean absolute deviation of 36.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,509. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Icelandic Salmon's stock prices and determine the direction of Icelandic Salmon AS's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Icelandic Salmon's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Icelandic Salmon AS is based on a synthetically constructed Icelandic Salmondaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Icelandic Salmon 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Icelandic Salmon AS on the next trading day is expected to be 1,522 with a mean absolute deviation of 36.80, mean absolute percentage error of 2,458, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,509.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Icelandic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Icelandic Salmon's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Icelandic Salmon Stock Forecast Pattern

Icelandic Salmon Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Icelandic Salmon's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Icelandic Salmon's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,521 and 1,524, respectively. We have considered Icelandic Salmon's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,510
1,522
Expected Value
1,524
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Icelandic Salmon stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Icelandic Salmon stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria89.1601
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -26.0244
MADMean absolute deviation36.8049
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0241
SAESum of the absolute errors1509.0
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Icelandic Salmon 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Icelandic Salmon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Icelandic Salmon. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Icelandic Salmon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

Other Forecasting Options for Icelandic Salmon

For every potential investor in Icelandic, whether a beginner or expert, Icelandic Salmon's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Icelandic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Icelandic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Icelandic Salmon's price trends.

Icelandic Salmon Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Icelandic Salmon stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Icelandic Salmon could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Icelandic Salmon by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Icelandic Salmon Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Icelandic Salmon's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Icelandic Salmon's current price.

Icelandic Salmon Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Icelandic Salmon stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Icelandic Salmon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Icelandic Salmon stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Icelandic Salmon AS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Icelandic Salmon Risk Indicators

The analysis of Icelandic Salmon's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Icelandic Salmon's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting icelandic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.