IQVIA Holdings Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

IQV Stock  USD 199.39  0.86  0.43%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of IQVIA Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 199.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 250.98. IQVIA Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for IQVIA Holdings is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

IQVIA Holdings 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of IQVIA Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 199.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.40, mean absolute percentage error of 37.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 250.98.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IQVIA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IQVIA Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

IQVIA Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest IQVIA HoldingsIQVIA Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

IQVIA Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting IQVIA Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IQVIA Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 197.89 and 201.62, respectively. We have considered IQVIA Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
199.39
197.89
Downside
199.75
Expected Value
201.62
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IQVIA Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IQVIA Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.3781
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.201
MADMean absolute deviation4.4032
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0213
SAESum of the absolute errors250.98
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of IQVIA Holdings. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for IQVIA Holdings and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for IQVIA Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IQVIA Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
198.48200.35202.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
179.45216.69218.56
Details
26 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
224.97247.22274.41
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.712.782.80
Details

Other Forecasting Options for IQVIA Holdings

For every potential investor in IQVIA, whether a beginner or expert, IQVIA Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IQVIA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IQVIA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IQVIA Holdings' price trends.

IQVIA Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IQVIA Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IQVIA Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IQVIA Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

IQVIA Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of IQVIA Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of IQVIA Holdings' current price.

IQVIA Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IQVIA Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IQVIA Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IQVIA Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify IQVIA Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

IQVIA Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of IQVIA Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IQVIA Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting iqvia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for IQVIA Stock Analysis

When running IQVIA Holdings' price analysis, check to measure IQVIA Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IQVIA Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of IQVIA Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IQVIA Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IQVIA Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IQVIA Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.