Intermedical Care Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

IMH Stock  THB 4.78  0.02  0.42%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Intermedical Care and on the next trading day is expected to be 4.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.44. Intermedical Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Intermedical Care simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Intermedical Care and are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Intermedical Care prices get older.

Intermedical Care Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Intermedical Care and on the next trading day is expected to be 4.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.44.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Intermedical Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Intermedical Care's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Intermedical Care Stock Forecast Pattern

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Intermedical Care Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Intermedical Care's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Intermedical Care's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.70 and 5.86, respectively. We have considered Intermedical Care's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.78
4.78
Expected Value
5.86
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Intermedical Care stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Intermedical Care stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.6299
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0153
MADMean absolute deviation0.0407
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0078
SAESum of the absolute errors2.44
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Intermedical Care and forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Intermedical Care observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Intermedical Care

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intermedical Care. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.704.785.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.234.315.39
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Intermedical Care

For every potential investor in Intermedical, whether a beginner or expert, Intermedical Care's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Intermedical Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Intermedical. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Intermedical Care's price trends.

Intermedical Care Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Intermedical Care stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Intermedical Care could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Intermedical Care by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Intermedical Care Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Intermedical Care's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Intermedical Care's current price.

Intermedical Care Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Intermedical Care stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Intermedical Care shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Intermedical Care stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Intermedical Care and entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Intermedical Care Risk Indicators

The analysis of Intermedical Care's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Intermedical Care's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting intermedical stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Intermedical Stock

Intermedical Care financial ratios help investors to determine whether Intermedical Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Intermedical with respect to the benefits of owning Intermedical Care security.