Intikeramik Alamasri Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| IKAI Stock | IDR 11.00 1.00 10.00% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Intikeramik Alamasri Industri on the next trading day is expected to be 11.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.25. Intikeramik Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Intikeramik |
Intikeramik Alamasri 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Intikeramik Alamasri Industri on the next trading day is expected to be 11.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72, mean absolute percentage error of 1.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.25.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Intikeramik Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Intikeramik Alamasri's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Intikeramik Alamasri Stock Forecast Pattern
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Intikeramik Alamasri Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Intikeramik Alamasri's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Intikeramik Alamasri's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.00 and 17.00, respectively. We have considered Intikeramik Alamasri's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Intikeramik Alamasri stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Intikeramik Alamasri stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.786 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3289 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7237 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0613 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 41.25 |
Predictive Modules for Intikeramik Alamasri
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intikeramik Alamasri. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Intikeramik Alamasri
For every potential investor in Intikeramik, whether a beginner or expert, Intikeramik Alamasri's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Intikeramik Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Intikeramik. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Intikeramik Alamasri's price trends.Intikeramik Alamasri Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Intikeramik Alamasri stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Intikeramik Alamasri could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Intikeramik Alamasri by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Intikeramik Alamasri Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Intikeramik Alamasri's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Intikeramik Alamasri's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Intikeramik Alamasri Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Intikeramik Alamasri stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Intikeramik Alamasri shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Intikeramik Alamasri stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Intikeramik Alamasri Industri entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Intikeramik Alamasri Risk Indicators
The analysis of Intikeramik Alamasri's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Intikeramik Alamasri's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting intikeramik stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.02 | |||
| Variance | 36.26 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Intikeramik Alamasri financial ratios help investors to determine whether Intikeramik Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Intikeramik with respect to the benefits of owning Intikeramik Alamasri security.