HTBI Old Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| HTBIDelisted Stock | USD 36.55 1.06 2.82% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of HTBI Old on the next trading day is expected to be 36.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.91. HTBI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of HTBI Old's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
HTBI |
HTBI Old Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of HTBI Old on the next trading day is expected to be 36.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47, mean absolute percentage error of 0.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HTBI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HTBI Old's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
HTBI Old Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest HTBI Old | HTBI Old Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HTBI Old stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HTBI Old stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.1734 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0168 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4652 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0131 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.91 |
Predictive Modules for HTBI Old
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HTBI Old. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.HTBI Old Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HTBI Old stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HTBI Old could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HTBI Old by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
HTBI Old Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HTBI Old stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HTBI Old shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HTBI Old stock market strength indicators, traders can identify HTBI Old entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
HTBI Old Risk Indicators
The analysis of HTBI Old's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HTBI Old's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting htbi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Variance | 2.72 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.16 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.76 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.65) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Other Consideration for investing in HTBI Stock
If you are still planning to invest in HTBI Old check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the HTBI Old's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Instant Ratings Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas | |
| Theme Ratings Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Stocks Directory Find actively traded stocks across global markets | |
| FinTech Suite Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities | |
| Commodity Channel Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum | |
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity | |
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm |