HTBI Old Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

A four-period moving average forecast model for HTBI Old is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

HTBI Old 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of HTBI Old on the next trading day is expected to be 37.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66, mean absolute percentage error of 0.76, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.80.

HTBI Old Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HTBI Old stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HTBI Old stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of HTBI Old. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for HTBI Old and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for HTBI Old

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HTBI Old. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 34.97 36.58 38.19 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 28.73 30.34 40.21 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 36.29 37.15 38.01 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as HTBI Old. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against HTBI Old's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, HTBI Old's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HTBI Old.

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