Holland Colours Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

HOLCO Stock  EUR 90.50  2.50  2.69%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Holland Colours NV on the next trading day is expected to be 90.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.43. Holland Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Holland Colours stock prices and determine the direction of Holland Colours NV's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Holland Colours' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Holland Colours works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Holland Colours Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Holland Colours NV on the next trading day is expected to be 90.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87, mean absolute percentage error of 1.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.43.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Holland Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Holland Colours' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Holland Colours Stock Forecast Pattern

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Holland Colours Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Holland Colours' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Holland Colours' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 89.35 and 92.39, respectively. We have considered Holland Colours' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
90.50
90.87
Expected Value
92.39
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Holland Colours stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Holland Colours stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1239
MADMean absolute deviation0.8738
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0095
SAESum of the absolute errors52.4297
When Holland Colours NV prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Holland Colours NV trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Holland Colours observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Holland Colours

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Holland Colours NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
88.9990.5092.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.7081.2199.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
88.5591.0093.45
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Holland Colours

For every potential investor in Holland, whether a beginner or expert, Holland Colours' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Holland Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Holland. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Holland Colours' price trends.

Holland Colours Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Holland Colours stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Holland Colours could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Holland Colours by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Holland Colours NV Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Holland Colours' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Holland Colours' current price.

Holland Colours Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Holland Colours stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Holland Colours shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Holland Colours stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Holland Colours NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Holland Colours Risk Indicators

The analysis of Holland Colours' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Holland Colours' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting holland stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Holland Stock

Holland Colours financial ratios help investors to determine whether Holland Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Holland with respect to the benefits of owning Holland Colours security.