Alphacentric Hedged Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

HMXAX Fund  USD 29.00  0.04  0.14%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Alphacentric Hedged Market on the next trading day is expected to be 29.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.05. Alphacentric Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Alphacentric Hedged price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Alphacentric Hedged Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 6th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Alphacentric Hedged Market on the next trading day is expected to be 29.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alphacentric Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alphacentric Hedged's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Alphacentric Hedged Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Alphacentric HedgedAlphacentric Hedged Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Alphacentric Hedged Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Alphacentric Hedged's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alphacentric Hedged's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.52 and 29.51, respectively. We have considered Alphacentric Hedged's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
29.00
29.01
Expected Value
29.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alphacentric Hedged mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alphacentric Hedged mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.0449
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1648
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0059
SAESum of the absolute errors10.0545
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Alphacentric Hedged Market historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Alphacentric Hedged

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alphacentric Hedged. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.5129.0029.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.2428.7329.22
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Alphacentric Hedged. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Alphacentric Hedged's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Alphacentric Hedged's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Alphacentric Hedged.

Other Forecasting Options for Alphacentric Hedged

For every potential investor in Alphacentric, whether a beginner or expert, Alphacentric Hedged's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alphacentric Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alphacentric. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alphacentric Hedged's price trends.

Alphacentric Hedged Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alphacentric Hedged mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alphacentric Hedged could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alphacentric Hedged by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Alphacentric Hedged Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Alphacentric Hedged's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Alphacentric Hedged's current price.

Alphacentric Hedged Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alphacentric Hedged mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alphacentric Hedged shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alphacentric Hedged mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Alphacentric Hedged Market entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Alphacentric Hedged Risk Indicators

The analysis of Alphacentric Hedged's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alphacentric Hedged's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alphacentric mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Alphacentric Mutual Fund

Alphacentric Hedged financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alphacentric Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alphacentric with respect to the benefits of owning Alphacentric Hedged security.
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon