Hamilton Enhanced Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

HDIV Etf   18.12  0.06  0.33%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hamilton Enhanced Multi Sector on the next trading day is expected to be 18.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.41. Hamilton Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Hamilton Enhanced is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Hamilton Enhanced Multi Sector value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Hamilton Enhanced Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hamilton Enhanced Multi Sector on the next trading day is expected to be 18.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hamilton Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hamilton Enhanced's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hamilton Enhanced Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest Hamilton EnhancedHamilton Enhanced Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Hamilton Enhanced Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hamilton Enhanced's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hamilton Enhanced's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.68 and 18.91, respectively. We have considered Hamilton Enhanced's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18.12
18.30
Expected Value
18.91
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hamilton Enhanced etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hamilton Enhanced etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.1013
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.105
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0061
SAESum of the absolute errors6.4058
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Hamilton Enhanced Multi Sector. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Hamilton Enhanced. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Hamilton Enhanced

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hamilton Enhanced Multi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.5718.1818.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.9518.5619.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.8318.0018.17
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Hamilton Enhanced

For every potential investor in Hamilton, whether a beginner or expert, Hamilton Enhanced's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hamilton Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hamilton. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hamilton Enhanced's price trends.

Hamilton Enhanced Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hamilton Enhanced etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hamilton Enhanced could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hamilton Enhanced by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hamilton Enhanced Multi Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hamilton Enhanced's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hamilton Enhanced's current price.

Hamilton Enhanced Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hamilton Enhanced etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hamilton Enhanced shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hamilton Enhanced etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Hamilton Enhanced Multi Sector entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hamilton Enhanced Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hamilton Enhanced's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hamilton Enhanced's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hamilton etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Hamilton Enhanced

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Hamilton Enhanced position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Hamilton Enhanced will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Hamilton Etf

  0.96HCAL Hamilton EnhancedPairCorr
  0.94PFLS Picton Mahoney FortifiedPairCorr
  0.8HAC Global X SeasonalPairCorr
  0.68ARB Accelerate ArbitragePairCorr
  0.91PHE Purpose Tactical HedgedPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Hamilton Enhanced could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Hamilton Enhanced when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Hamilton Enhanced - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Hamilton Enhanced Multi Sector to buy it.
The correlation of Hamilton Enhanced is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Hamilton Enhanced moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Hamilton Enhanced Multi moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Hamilton Enhanced can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Hamilton Etf

Hamilton Enhanced financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hamilton Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hamilton with respect to the benefits of owning Hamilton Enhanced security.