Companhia Habitasul Preferred Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

HBTS5 Preferred Stock  BRL 29.00  0.60  2.03%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Companhia Habitasul de on the next trading day is expected to be 30.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.29. Companhia Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Companhia Habitasul de is based on a synthetically constructed Companhia Habitasuldaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Companhia Habitasul 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Companhia Habitasul de on the next trading day is expected to be 30.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.28, mean absolute percentage error of 11.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Companhia Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Companhia Habitasul's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Companhia Habitasul Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

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Companhia Habitasul Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Companhia Habitasul's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Companhia Habitasul's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.99 and 34.13, respectively. We have considered Companhia Habitasul's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
29.00
30.56
Expected Value
34.13
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Companhia Habitasul preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Companhia Habitasul preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria83.7673
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.0307
MADMean absolute deviation2.2755
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0743
SAESum of the absolute errors93.2935
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Companhia Habitasul 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Companhia Habitasul

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Companhia Habitasul. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.0129.6033.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.6327.2230.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Companhia Habitasul. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Companhia Habitasul's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Companhia Habitasul's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Companhia Habitasul.

Other Forecasting Options for Companhia Habitasul

For every potential investor in Companhia, whether a beginner or expert, Companhia Habitasul's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Companhia Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Companhia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Companhia Habitasul's price trends.

Companhia Habitasul Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Companhia Habitasul preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Companhia Habitasul could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Companhia Habitasul by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Companhia Habitasul Technical and Predictive Analytics

The preferred stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Companhia Habitasul's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Companhia Habitasul's current price.

Companhia Habitasul Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Companhia Habitasul preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Companhia Habitasul shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Companhia Habitasul preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Companhia Habitasul de entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Companhia Habitasul Risk Indicators

The analysis of Companhia Habitasul's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Companhia Habitasul's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting companhia preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Companhia Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Companhia Habitasul's price analysis, check to measure Companhia Habitasul's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Companhia Habitasul is operating at the current time. Most of Companhia Habitasul's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Companhia Habitasul's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Companhia Habitasul's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Companhia Habitasul to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.