Genasys Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

GNSS Stock  USD 2.71  0.09  3.44%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Genasys on the next trading day is expected to be 2.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.16. Genasys Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Genasys' Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is likely to gain to 5.78 in 2025, whereas Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 5.34 in 2025. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 29.1 M in 2025. Net Loss is likely to gain to about (13.9 M) in 2025.

Open Interest Against 2025-04-17 Genasys Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Genasys' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Genasys' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Genasys stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Genasys' open interest, investors have to compare it to Genasys' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Genasys is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Genasys. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Genasys simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Genasys are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Genasys prices get older.

Genasys Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Genasys on the next trading day is expected to be 2.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Genasys Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Genasys' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Genasys Stock Forecast Pattern

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Genasys Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Genasys' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Genasys' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 8.18, respectively. We have considered Genasys' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.71
2.71
Expected Value
8.18
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Genasys stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Genasys stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.7916
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0177
MADMean absolute deviation0.1027
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0347
SAESum of the absolute errors6.16
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Genasys forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Genasys observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Genasys

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Genasys. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Genasys' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.718.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.487.95
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.855.335.92
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Genasys

For every potential investor in Genasys, whether a beginner or expert, Genasys' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Genasys Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Genasys. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Genasys' price trends.

Genasys Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Genasys stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Genasys could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Genasys by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Genasys Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Genasys' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Genasys' current price.

Genasys Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Genasys stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Genasys shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Genasys stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Genasys entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Genasys Risk Indicators

The analysis of Genasys' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Genasys' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting genasys stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Genasys Stock Analysis

When running Genasys' price analysis, check to measure Genasys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Genasys is operating at the current time. Most of Genasys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Genasys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Genasys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Genasys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.