VanEck Vectors Etf Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

GMET Etf  USD 23.72  0.23  0.96%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of VanEck Vectors ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 23.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.57. VanEck Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for VanEck Vectors ETF is based on a synthetically constructed VanEck Vectorsdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

VanEck Vectors 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of VanEck Vectors ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 23.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60, mean absolute percentage error of 0.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.57.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VanEck Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VanEck Vectors' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

VanEck Vectors Etf Forecast Pattern

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VanEck Vectors Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting VanEck Vectors' Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VanEck Vectors' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.80 and 26.08, respectively. We have considered VanEck Vectors' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23.72
23.94
Expected Value
26.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VanEck Vectors etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VanEck Vectors etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria80.6428
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.3175
MADMean absolute deviation0.5992
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0247
SAESum of the absolute errors24.568
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. VanEck Vectors ETF 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for VanEck Vectors

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck Vectors ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VanEck Vectors' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.8023.9326.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.6523.7825.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
23.6123.8624.12
Details

Other Forecasting Options for VanEck Vectors

For every potential investor in VanEck, whether a beginner or expert, VanEck Vectors' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VanEck Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VanEck. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VanEck Vectors' price trends.

VanEck Vectors Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VanEck Vectors etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VanEck Vectors could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VanEck Vectors by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

VanEck Vectors ETF Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of VanEck Vectors' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of VanEck Vectors' current price.

VanEck Vectors Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VanEck Vectors etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VanEck Vectors shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VanEck Vectors etf market strength indicators, traders can identify VanEck Vectors ETF entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

VanEck Vectors Risk Indicators

The analysis of VanEck Vectors' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VanEck Vectors' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vaneck etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  
When determining whether VanEck Vectors ETF offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of VanEck Vectors' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vaneck Vectors Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vaneck Vectors Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VanEck Vectors to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
The market value of VanEck Vectors ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck Vectors' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck Vectors' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VanEck Vectors' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck Vectors' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck Vectors' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck Vectors is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck Vectors' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.