Gremi Media Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| GME Stock | 43.40 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gremi Media SA on the next trading day is expected to be 45.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.51. Gremi Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Gremi |
Gremi Media Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gremi Media SA on the next trading day is expected to be 45.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.51, mean absolute percentage error of 3.71, and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.51.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gremi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gremi Media's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gremi Media Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Gremi Media | Gremi Media Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gremi Media stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gremi Media stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.26 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.5082 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0269 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 93.5063 |
Predictive Modules for Gremi Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gremi Media SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gremi Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gremi Media Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gremi Media stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gremi Media could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gremi Media by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gremi Media Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gremi Media stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gremi Media shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gremi Media stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gremi Media SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Gremi Media Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gremi Media's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gremi Media's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gremi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.12 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.36 | |||
| Variance | 11.27 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Gremi Media
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Gremi Media position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Gremi Media will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Gremi Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Gremi Media could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Gremi Media when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Gremi Media - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Gremi Media SA to buy it.
The correlation of Gremi Media is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Gremi Media moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Gremi Media SA moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Gremi Media can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Gremi Stock Analysis
When running Gremi Media's price analysis, check to measure Gremi Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gremi Media is operating at the current time. Most of Gremi Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gremi Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gremi Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gremi Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.