Grupo De Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

GIVSYDelisted Stock  USD 17.53  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Grupo De Inversiones on the next trading day is expected to be 17.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.64. Grupo Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Grupo De is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Grupo De Inversiones value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Grupo De Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Grupo De Inversiones on the next trading day is expected to be 17.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.64.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Grupo Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Grupo De's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Grupo De Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Grupo De pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Grupo De pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.9651
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0268
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0015
SAESum of the absolute errors1.6374
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Grupo De Inversiones. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Grupo De. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Grupo De

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grupo De Inversiones. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grupo De's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.5317.5317.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.8914.8919.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.5317.5317.53
Details

Grupo De Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Grupo De pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Grupo De could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grupo De by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Grupo De Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Grupo De pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Grupo De shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Grupo De pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Grupo De Inversiones entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

Other Consideration for investing in Grupo Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Grupo De Inversiones check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Grupo De's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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