Genesis Growth Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

GGAAFDelisted Stock   8,210  50.00  0.61%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Genesis Growth Tech on the next trading day is expected to be 8,092 with a mean absolute deviation of 128.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7,809. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Genesis Growth's stock prices and determine the direction of Genesis Growth Tech's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Genesis Growth's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
  
A naive forecasting model for Genesis Growth is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Genesis Growth Tech value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Genesis Growth Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Genesis Growth Tech on the next trading day is expected to be 8,092 with a mean absolute deviation of 128.02, mean absolute percentage error of 28,377, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7,809.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Genesis Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Genesis Growth's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Genesis Growth Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Genesis Growth pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Genesis Growth pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria128.3638
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation128.0174
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0143
SAESum of the absolute errors7809.0633
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Genesis Growth Tech. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Genesis Growth. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Genesis Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Genesis Growth Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Genesis Growth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Genesis Growth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Genesis Growth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Genesis Growth Tech.

Genesis Growth Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Genesis Growth pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Genesis Growth could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Genesis Growth by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Genesis Growth Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Genesis Growth pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Genesis Growth shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Genesis Growth pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Genesis Growth Tech entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Genesis Growth Risk Indicators

The analysis of Genesis Growth's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Genesis Growth's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting genesis pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.

Other Consideration for investing in Genesis Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Genesis Growth Tech check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Genesis Growth's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm
Portfolio Dashboard
Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences