Gravitas Education Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

GEHIDelisted Stock  USD 13.09  0.00  0.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Gravitas Education Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 12.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.10. Gravitas Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Gravitas Education's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Gravitas Education polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Gravitas Education Holdings as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Gravitas Education Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 18th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Gravitas Education Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 12.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53, mean absolute percentage error of 0.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gravitas Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gravitas Education's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Gravitas Education Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gravitas Education stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gravitas Education stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.2217
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5262
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0365
SAESum of the absolute errors32.0986
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Gravitas Education historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Gravitas Education

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gravitas Education. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.0913.0913.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.9311.9314.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gravitas Education. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gravitas Education's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gravitas Education's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gravitas Education.

Gravitas Education Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gravitas Education stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gravitas Education could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gravitas Education by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Gravitas Education Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gravitas Education stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gravitas Education shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gravitas Education stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gravitas Education Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Gravitas Education Risk Indicators

The analysis of Gravitas Education's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gravitas Education's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gravitas stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Other Consideration for investing in Gravitas Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Gravitas Education check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Gravitas Education's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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