Goodrx Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

GDRX Stock  USD 4.84  0.02  0.41%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Goodrx Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 5.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.73. Goodrx Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Goodrx Holdings' Receivables Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to rise to 0.62 in 2024, despite the fact that Inventory Turnover is likely to grow to (6.13). . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to rise to about 433.3 M in 2024, whereas Net Loss is likely to drop (31 M) in 2024.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Goodrx Holdings' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
672.3 M
Current Value
623.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
379.5 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Goodrx Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Goodrx Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Goodrx Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Goodrx Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 5.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.73.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Goodrx Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Goodrx Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Goodrx Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Goodrx HoldingsGoodrx Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Goodrx Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Goodrx Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Goodrx Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.05 and 9.29, respectively. We have considered Goodrx Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.84
5.67
Expected Value
9.29
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Goodrx Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Goodrx Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.1024
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1759
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0301
SAESum of the absolute errors10.7304
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Goodrx Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Goodrx Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Goodrx Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Goodrx Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.224.848.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.934.558.17
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.948.739.69
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Goodrx Holdings

For every potential investor in Goodrx, whether a beginner or expert, Goodrx Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Goodrx Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Goodrx. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Goodrx Holdings' price trends.

View Goodrx Holdings Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Goodrx Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Goodrx Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Goodrx Holdings' current price.

Goodrx Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Goodrx Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Goodrx Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Goodrx Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Goodrx Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Goodrx Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Goodrx Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Goodrx Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting goodrx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Goodrx Stock Analysis

When running Goodrx Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Goodrx Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Goodrx Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Goodrx Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Goodrx Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Goodrx Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Goodrx Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.