Astor Macro Mutual Fund Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

GBLMX Fund  USD 9.09  0.00  0.00%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Astor Macro Alternative on the next trading day is expected to be 9.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Astor Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Astor Macro Alternative is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Astor Macro 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Astor Macro Alternative on the next trading day is expected to be 9.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Astor Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Astor Macro's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Astor Macro Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Astor MacroAstor Macro Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Astor Macro Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Astor Macro's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Astor Macro's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.09 and 9.09, respectively. We have considered Astor Macro's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.09
9.09
Expected Value
9.09
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Astor Macro mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Astor Macro mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Astor Macro. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Astor Macro Alternative and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Astor Macro

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Astor Macro Alternative. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.099.099.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.099.099.09
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Astor Macro

For every potential investor in Astor, whether a beginner or expert, Astor Macro's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Astor Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Astor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Astor Macro's price trends.

Astor Macro Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Astor Macro mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Astor Macro could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Astor Macro by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Astor Macro Alternative Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Astor Macro's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Astor Macro's current price.

Astor Macro Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Astor Macro mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Astor Macro shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Astor Macro mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Astor Macro Alternative entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Astor Mutual Fund

Astor Macro financial ratios help investors to determine whether Astor Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Astor with respect to the benefits of owning Astor Macro security.
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