Golden Arrow Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

GAMCWDelisted Stock   0.20  0.02  11.11%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Golden Arrow Merger on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.55. Golden Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Golden Arrow polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Golden Arrow Merger as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Golden Arrow Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 19th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Golden Arrow Merger on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.55.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Golden Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Golden Arrow's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Golden Arrow Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Golden Arrow stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Golden Arrow stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.7824
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0254
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors1.5496
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Golden Arrow historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Golden Arrow

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Golden Arrow Merger. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Golden Arrow's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.200.200.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.130.130.22
Details

Golden Arrow Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Golden Arrow stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Golden Arrow could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Golden Arrow by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Golden Arrow Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Golden Arrow stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Golden Arrow shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Golden Arrow stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Golden Arrow Merger entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Golden Arrow Risk Indicators

The analysis of Golden Arrow's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Golden Arrow's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting golden stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

Other Consideration for investing in Golden Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Golden Arrow Merger check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Golden Arrow's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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