Freedom 100 Etf Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

FRDM Etf  USD 34.41  0.25  0.73%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Freedom 100 Emerging on the next trading day is expected to be 34.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.71. Freedom Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Freedom 100 works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Freedom 100 Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Freedom 100 Emerging on the next trading day is expected to be 34.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.71.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Freedom Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Freedom 100's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Freedom 100 Etf Forecast Pattern

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Freedom 100 Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Freedom 100's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Freedom 100's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.32 and 35.54, respectively. We have considered Freedom 100's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
34.41
34.43
Expected Value
35.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Freedom 100 etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Freedom 100 etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0689
MADMean absolute deviation0.3118
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0088
SAESum of the absolute errors18.7104
When Freedom 100 Emerging prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Freedom 100 Emerging trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Freedom 100 observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Freedom 100

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Freedom 100 Emerging. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Freedom 100's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.2934.4035.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.5134.6235.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
33.1034.2935.48
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Freedom 100

For every potential investor in Freedom, whether a beginner or expert, Freedom 100's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Freedom Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Freedom. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Freedom 100's price trends.

Freedom 100 Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Freedom 100 etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Freedom 100 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Freedom 100 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Freedom 100 Emerging Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Freedom 100's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Freedom 100's current price.

Freedom 100 Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Freedom 100 etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Freedom 100 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Freedom 100 etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Freedom 100 Emerging entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Freedom 100 Risk Indicators

The analysis of Freedom 100's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Freedom 100's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting freedom etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Freedom 100 Emerging is a strong investment it is important to analyze Freedom 100's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Freedom 100's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Freedom Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Freedom 100 to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
The market value of Freedom 100 Emerging is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Freedom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Freedom 100's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Freedom 100's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Freedom 100's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Freedom 100's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Freedom 100's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Freedom 100 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Freedom 100's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.