Fs Managed Mutual Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

FMFFXDelisted Fund  USD 8.70  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fs Managed Futures on the next trading day is expected to be 8.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.41. FMFFX Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Fs Managed is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Fs Managed Futures value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Fs Managed Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fs Managed Futures on the next trading day is expected to be 8.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FMFFX Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fs Managed's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fs Managed Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fs Managed mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fs Managed mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.7188
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0722
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0083
SAESum of the absolute errors4.4065
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Fs Managed Futures. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Fs Managed. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Fs Managed

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fs Managed Futures. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.478.708.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.848.079.57
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fs Managed. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fs Managed's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fs Managed's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fs Managed Futures.

Fs Managed Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fs Managed mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fs Managed could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fs Managed by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fs Managed Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fs Managed mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fs Managed shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fs Managed mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Fs Managed Futures entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fs Managed Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fs Managed's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fs Managed's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fmffx mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.

Other Consideration for investing in FMFFX Mutual Fund

If you are still planning to invest in Fs Managed Futures check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Fs Managed's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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