Franklin FTSE Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

FLCH Etf  USD 18.00  0.22  1.21%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Franklin FTSE China on the next trading day is expected to be 18.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.61. Franklin Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Franklin FTSE's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  

Open Interest Against 2025-01-17 Franklin Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Franklin FTSE's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Franklin FTSE's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Franklin FTSE stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Franklin FTSE's open interest, investors have to compare it to Franklin FTSE's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Franklin FTSE is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Franklin. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Franklin FTSE simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Franklin FTSE China are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Franklin FTSE China prices get older.

Franklin FTSE Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Franklin FTSE China on the next trading day is expected to be 18.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.61.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Franklin Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Franklin FTSE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Franklin FTSE Etf Forecast Pattern

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Franklin FTSE Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Franklin FTSE's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Franklin FTSE's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.95 and 20.09, respectively. We have considered Franklin FTSE's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
18.00
18.02
Expected Value
20.09
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Franklin FTSE etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Franklin FTSE etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.336
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0505
MADMean absolute deviation0.2602
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0137
SAESum of the absolute errors15.6124
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Franklin FTSE China forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Franklin FTSE observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Franklin FTSE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin FTSE China. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Franklin FTSE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.9117.9820.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.7116.7818.85
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Franklin FTSE

For every potential investor in Franklin, whether a beginner or expert, Franklin FTSE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Franklin Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Franklin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Franklin FTSE's price trends.

Franklin FTSE Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Franklin FTSE etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Franklin FTSE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Franklin FTSE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Franklin FTSE China Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Franklin FTSE's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Franklin FTSE's current price.

Franklin FTSE Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Franklin FTSE etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Franklin FTSE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Franklin FTSE etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Franklin FTSE China entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Franklin FTSE Risk Indicators

The analysis of Franklin FTSE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Franklin FTSE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting franklin etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Franklin FTSE China offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Franklin FTSE's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Franklin Ftse China Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Franklin Ftse China Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Franklin FTSE to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
The market value of Franklin FTSE China is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Franklin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Franklin FTSE's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Franklin FTSE's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Franklin FTSE's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Franklin FTSE's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin FTSE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin FTSE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin FTSE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.