Eminent Gold Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

EMNT Stock  CAD 0.35  0.02  6.06%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Eminent Gold Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.63. Eminent Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Payables Turnover is likely to climb to 0.81 in 2024. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 35.7 M in 2024. Net Loss is likely to climb to about (1.1 M) in 2024.
Triple exponential smoothing for Eminent Gold - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Eminent Gold prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Eminent Gold price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Eminent Gold Corp.

Eminent Gold Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Eminent Gold Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eminent Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eminent Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Eminent Gold Stock Forecast Pattern

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Eminent Gold Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Eminent Gold's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eminent Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.66, respectively. We have considered Eminent Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.35
0.35
Expected Value
5.66
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eminent Gold stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eminent Gold stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0014
MADMean absolute deviation0.0105
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0327
SAESum of the absolute errors0.6307
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Eminent Gold observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Eminent Gold Corp observations.

Predictive Modules for Eminent Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eminent Gold Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eminent Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.355.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.295.52
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Eminent Gold

For every potential investor in Eminent, whether a beginner or expert, Eminent Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eminent Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eminent. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eminent Gold's price trends.

Eminent Gold Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Eminent Gold stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Eminent Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eminent Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Eminent Gold Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Eminent Gold's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Eminent Gold's current price.

Eminent Gold Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eminent Gold stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eminent Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eminent Gold stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Eminent Gold Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Eminent Gold Risk Indicators

The analysis of Eminent Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eminent Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eminent stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Eminent Stock Analysis

When running Eminent Gold's price analysis, check to measure Eminent Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eminent Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Eminent Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eminent Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eminent Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eminent Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.